Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.3% vs Stoll 56.3% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 55.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 93.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 75.2%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Shaw
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Shaw
Stoll
Last 8: Shaw 5-3 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Shaw
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Stoll
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (291)
57.7% (650)
-11.7%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
66.7% (15)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
53.9% (178)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Shaw is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Shaw shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stoll
Home
49.4% (160)
59.6% (421)
Away
43.5% (154)
54.5% (422)
By Period
Shaw
Stoll
P1
46.2%
55.4%
P2
45.9%
55.9%
P3
47.3%
59.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.5%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |