Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 45.4% vs Stoll 57.0% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 84.8%
Defensive zone
Fraser 82.9%
Neutral zone
Fraser 85.0%
Result
Colin Fraser favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Fraser
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Fraser
Stoll
Last 9: Fraser 2-7 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
5
Fraser
Stoll
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fraser
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (382)
56.6% (987)
-9.0%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
64.3% (126)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (152)
58.1% (179)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Fraser is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Fraser shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Fraser
Stoll
Home
47.1% (293)
58.6% (662)
Away
41.7% (259)
56.3% (648)
By Period
Fraser
Stoll
P1
46.3%
58.1%
P2
43.1%
56.4%
P3
44.7%
58.4%
OT
33.3%
43.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.6%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |