Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Stoll 57.0% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 53.2%
Defensive zone
Stoll 83.3%
Neutral zone
Stoll 66.1%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Roy
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roy
Stoll
Last 5: Roy 3-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
Roy
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
56.6% (987)
-12.7%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
64.3% (126)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
58.1% (179)
-2.8%
On even strength, Stoll has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Roy is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Roy shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Roy
Stoll
Home
51.6% (283)
58.6% (662)
Away
40.4% (245)
56.3% (648)
By Period
Roy
Stoll
P1
47.8%
58.1%
P2
41.1%
56.4%
P3
49.7%
58.4%
OT
41.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
42.4%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |