Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Pavelski 55.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 55.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 50.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Stoll
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Stoll
Pavelski
Last 10: Stoll 8-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
6
Stoll
Pavelski
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
8
1
Stoll
Pavelski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
0
Stoll
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
55.7% (849)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
60.0% (205)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
52.0% (152)
-4.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Stoll is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Stoll shoots right. Pavelski is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Stoll
Pavelski
Home
57.3% (618)
59.2% (622)
Away
52.2% (621)
52.6% (584)
By Period
Stoll
Pavelski
P1
54.5%
54.1%
P2
57.2%
56.4%
P3
53.4%
56.4%
OT
35.3%
65.6%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2013 | OT | 03:20 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |