Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.5% vs 56.7%). Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Stoll wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Toews 56.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 68.4%
Defensive zone
Stoll 77.1%
Neutral zone
Stoll 63.3%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Stoll
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Stoll
Toews
Last 10: Stoll 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
6
2
Stoll
Toews
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Stoll
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
1
Stoll
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
55.6% (1,125)
+1.0%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
59.3% (312)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
57.4% (204)
+0.7%
On power play, Stoll has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Stoll shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Stoll
Toews
Home
58.6% (662)
59.8% (858)
Away
56.3% (648)
53.3% (795)
By Period
Stoll
Toews
P1
58.1%
58.7%
P2
56.4%
55.1%
P3
58.4%
56.5%
OT
43.8%
54.8%
Final 5 min
59.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |