Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 37 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Toews 57.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 43-39 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stoll 74.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 64.0%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Stoll
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
43
(82 meetings)
39
43
Stoll
Toews
Last 10: Stoll 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
13
24
Stoll
Toews
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
14
7
Stoll
Toews
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
12
12
Stoll
Toews
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
57.2% (13,047)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
63.3% (3,252)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
53.6% (1,810)
-2.9%
On power play, Toews has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Stoll
Toews
Home
57.2% (3,285)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Stoll
Toews
P1
54.2%
58.6%
P2
55.8%
57.8%
P3
55.3%
57.3%
OT
52.7%
58.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |