Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Stajan 47.6% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 69.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 78.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 66.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Stoll
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stoll
Stajan
Last 6: Stoll 2-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Stoll
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Stoll
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
47.8% (678)
+9.9%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
33.3% (9)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
45.5% (101)
+8.4%
On power play, Stoll has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Stoll is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Stoll shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stajan
Home
59.6% (421)
49.0% (392)
Away
54.5% (422)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Stoll
Stajan
P1
55.4%
47.9%
P2
55.9%
49.8%
P3
59.9%
43.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |