Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Stajan 49.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 30-26 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 79.9%
Defensive zone
Stoll 66.6%
Neutral zone
Stoll 74.0%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Stoll
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
26
(56 meetings)
30
26
Stoll
Stajan
Last 10: Stoll 4-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
10
7
Stoll
Stajan
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
9
10
Stoll
Stajan
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
11
9
Stoll
Stajan
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
50.2% (4,944)
+5.8%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
43.2% (176)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
46.1% (864)
+4.6%
On power play, Stoll has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Stoll
Stajan
Home
57.2% (3,285)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Stoll
Stajan
P1
54.2%
50.3%
P2
55.8%
48.5%
P3
55.3%
49.4%
OT
52.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |