Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stoll wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs Talbot 48.8% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Talbot 67.2%
Defensive zone
Talbot 67.6%
Neutral zone
Talbot 65.5%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Stoll
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stoll
Talbot
Last 9: Stoll 3-6 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
3
Stoll
Talbot
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Stoll
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
50.5% (642)
+6.1%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
33.3% (18)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
43.5% (207)
+14.6%
On power play, Stoll has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Stoll shoots right. Talbot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Stoll
Talbot
Home
58.6% (662)
49.9% (427)
Away
56.3% (648)
47.4% (447)
By Period
Stoll
Talbot
P1
58.1%
48.4%
P2
56.4%
48.5%
P3
58.4%
48.8%
OT
43.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |