Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Talbot 47.0% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 73.0%
Defensive zone
Talbot 63.8%
Neutral zone
Talbot 69.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Stoll
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Stoll
Talbot
Last 10: Stoll 3-7 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
1
Stoll
Talbot
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
2
6
Stoll
Talbot
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
3
Stoll
Talbot
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
48.3% (1,738)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
49.0% (51)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
42.3% (631)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Home / Away
Stoll
Talbot
Home
57.2% (3,285)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Stoll
Talbot
P1
54.2%
48.7%
P2
55.8%
43.5%
P3
55.3%
48.6%
OT
52.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |