Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Johansen 52.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 70.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 67.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Stoll
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stoll
Johansen
Last 7: Stoll 1-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Stoll
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Stoll
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
52.5% (1,002)
+4.4%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
56.1% (198)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
49.5% (111)
-2.2%
On even strength, Stoll has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stoll is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Stoll shoots right. Johansen is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Stoll
Johansen
Home
57.3% (618)
54.7% (632)
Away
52.2% (621)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Stoll
Johansen
P1
54.5%
54.3%
P2
57.2%
53.5%
P3
53.4%
50.9%
OT
35.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |