Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 72.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 61.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Stoll
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Stoll
Johansen
Last 10: Stoll 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
11
Stoll
Johansen
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
9
3
Stoll
Johansen
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
5
Stoll
Johansen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
53.1% (11,017)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
56.2% (2,163)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
50.5% (978)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Stoll shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Stoll
Johansen
Home
57.2% (3,285)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Stoll
Johansen
P1
54.2%
53.2%
P2
55.8%
53.9%
P3
55.3%
52.8%
OT
52.7%
58.2%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |