Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 56.3% vs Johansen 52.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 92.2%
Neutral zone
Stoll 76.2%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Stoll
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stoll
Johansen
Last 7: Stoll 5-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Stoll
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
5
0
Stoll
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (650)
51.9% (1,006)
+5.8%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
56.0% (207)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (178)
42.4% (33)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stoll is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Stoll shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Stoll
Johansen
Home
59.6% (421)
56.4% (633)
Away
54.5% (422)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Stoll
Johansen
P1
55.4%
51.4%
P2
55.9%
52.9%
P3
59.9%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
84.6%
Final 5 min
60.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |