Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 57.0% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 92.7%
Defensive zone
Stoll 74.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 82.4%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Stoll
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Stoll
O'Reilly
Last 10: Stoll 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
0
Stoll
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Stoll
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
0
Stoll
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (987)
53.4% (770)
+3.2%
Power Play
64.3% (126)
55.6% (54)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
44.4% (196)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Stoll shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Stoll
O'Reilly
Home
58.6% (662)
53.5% (533)
Away
56.3% (648)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Stoll
O'Reilly
P1
58.1%
50.8%
P2
56.4%
52.4%
P3
58.4%
51.6%
OT
43.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |