Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 42 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Koivu 51.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 60-33 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 89.0%
Defensive zone
Stoll 77.9%
Neutral zone
Stoll 87.1%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Stoll
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
33
(93 meetings)
60
33
Stoll
Koivu
Last 10: Stoll 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
31
11
Stoll
Koivu
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
8
9
Stoll
Koivu
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
21
13
Stoll
Koivu
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
51.9% (3,221)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
59.3% (437)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
48.0% (764)
+2.7%
On even strength, Stoll has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Stoll
Koivu
Home
57.2% (3,285)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Stoll
Koivu
P1
54.2%
51.1%
P2
55.8%
52.6%
P3
55.3%
51.8%
OT
52.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:14 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |