Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Stoll wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Crosby 52.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 50.2%
Defensive zone
Stoll 85.7%
Neutral zone
Stoll 72.8%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Stoll
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Stoll
Crosby
Last 10: Stoll 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Stoll
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
7
1
Stoll
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stoll
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
50.9% (1,345)
+6.0%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
59.5% (439)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
44.7% (103)
+2.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stoll is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Stoll shoots right. Crosby is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Stoll
Crosby
Home
57.3% (618)
53.9% (941)
Away
52.2% (621)
51.2% (946)
By Period
Stoll
Crosby
P1
54.5%
49.3%
P2
57.2%
54.5%
P3
53.4%
53.9%
OT
35.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:34 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |