Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Crosby 53.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 79.8%
Neutral zone
Stoll 63.8%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Stoll
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Stoll
Crosby
Last 10: Stoll 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Stoll
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
11
5
Stoll
Crosby
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
5
Stoll
Crosby
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
52.8% (17,990)
+3.2%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
57.4% (4,733)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
47.1% (765)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Stoll
Crosby
Home
57.2% (3,285)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Stoll
Crosby
P1
54.2%
53.6%
P2
55.8%
53.9%
P3
55.3%
53.3%
OT
52.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 08:41 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |