Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stoll wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.4% vs Smith 52.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 88.3%
Defensive zone
Stoll 66.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 77.0%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Stoll
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Stoll
Smith
Last 8: Stoll 6-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
1
Stoll
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (904)
53.0% (1,048)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
57.4% (47)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (243)
50.0% (196)
-2.7%
On power play, Smith has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stoll is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Stoll shoots right. Smith is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Stoll
Smith
Home
57.3% (618)
53.9% (629)
Away
52.2% (621)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Stoll
Smith
P1
54.5%
50.4%
P2
57.2%
51.8%
P3
53.4%
56.4%
OT
35.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |