Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Smith 50.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 87.8%
Defensive zone
Stoll 88.0%
Neutral zone
Stoll 89.7%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Stoll
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Stoll
Smith
Last 10: Stoll 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
6
5
Stoll
Smith
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
3
2
Stoll
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
7
1
Stoll
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
51.6% (5,265)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
51.2% (342)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
45.3% (985)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Stoll
Smith
Home
57.2% (3,285)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Stoll
Smith
P1
54.2%
49.9%
P2
55.8%
50.0%
P3
55.3%
51.9%
OT
52.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |