Scouting Report
Darryl Boyce holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 51.0% vs Arnott 50.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 78.3%
Defensive zone
Boyce 66.4%
Neutral zone
Arnott 57.4%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Boyce
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Boyce
Arnott
Last 7: Boyce 1-6 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
3
Boyce
Arnott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
3
Boyce
Arnott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (137)
50.5% (667)
+0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
49.4% (89)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
60.0% (5)
-5.0%
On power play, Arnott has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Boyce shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Boyce
Arnott
Home
54.2% (83)
53.1% (431)
Away
48.8% (80)
46.7% (338)
By Period
Boyce
Arnott
P1
55.0%
46.9%
P2
54.7%
52.9%
P3
44.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.5%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |