Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs McClement 52.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
McClement leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 85.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 75.7%
Neutral zone
Arnott 52.9%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Arnott
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Arnott
McClement
Last 10: Arnott 4-6 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
2
5
Arnott
McClement
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
3
4
Arnott
McClement
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
54.4% (4,305)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
62.5% (104)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
47.2% (1,440)
-7.2%
On power play, McClement has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,069).
Home / Away
Arnott
McClement
Home
52.1% (891)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
48.2% (772)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Arnott
McClement
P1
46.1%
53.5%
P2
53.6%
52.0%
P3
50.1%
53.2%
OT
71.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:12 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jay McClement |