Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 66.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.0%
Neutral zone
Arnott 56.2%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Arnott
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Arnott
Carter
Last 10: Arnott 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Arnott
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
5
Arnott
Carter
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
5
Arnott
Carter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
53.3% (8,728)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
57.3% (1,554)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
46.3% (1,087)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Arnott
Carter
Home
52.1% (891)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
48.2% (772)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Arnott
Carter
P1
46.1%
53.6%
P2
53.6%
52.8%
P3
50.1%
53.1%
OT
71.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |