Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Toews 58.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 68.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 75.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 69.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Arnott
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Arnott
Toews
Last 5: Arnott 3-2 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Arnott
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
58.5% (775)
-8.0%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
64.9% (225)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
55.8% (120)
+4.2%
On power play, Toews has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Arnott shoots right. Toews is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Arnott
Toews
Home
53.1% (431)
63.0% (567)
Away
46.7% (338)
55.8% (570)
By Period
Arnott
Toews
P1
46.9%
59.6%
P2
52.9%
58.2%
P3
50.4%
60.7%
OT
100.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |