Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Toews 57.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 64.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 73.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 72.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Arnott
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Arnott
Toews
Last 10: Arnott 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Arnott
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Arnott
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
1
Arnott
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
57.2% (13,047)
-7.5%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
63.3% (3,252)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
53.6% (1,810)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Arnott
Toews
Home
52.1% (891)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
48.2% (772)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Arnott
Toews
P1
46.1%
58.6%
P2
53.6%
57.8%
P3
50.1%
57.3%
OT
71.4%
58.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |