Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Green 47.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 66.4%
Defensive zone
Arnott 61.0%
Neutral zone
Arnott 57.9%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Arnott
Green
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Arnott
Green
Last 5: Arnott 3-2 Green
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Green
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Green
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Green
0
1
Arnott
Green
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Green
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
42.1% (38)
+7.6%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
100.0% (2)
-46.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
33.3% (3)
+6.7%
On power play, Green has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Green shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Green is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Arnott
Green
Home
52.1% (891)
62.5% (8)
Away
48.2% (772)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Arnott
Green
P1
46.1%
58.3%
P2
53.6%
40.0%
P3
50.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Green
43.2%▬
43.2%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Josh Green |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Josh Green |