Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Couture 53.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 53.6%
Defensive zone
Arnott 55.3%
Neutral zone
Arnott 54.3%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Arnott
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Arnott
Couture
Last 6: Arnott 2-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
2
Arnott
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Arnott
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
53.5% (709)
-4.5%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
55.4% (139)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
42.4% (33)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Arnott is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Arnott shoots right. Couture is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Arnott
Couture
Home
51.1% (460)
55.3% (454)
Away
49.3% (434)
51.4% (434)
By Period
Arnott
Couture
P1
45.3%
52.4%
P2
54.2%
57.3%
P3
49.8%
50.3%
OT
66.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Logan Couture |