Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Couture 48.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 63.4%
Defensive zone
Couture 75.3%
Neutral zone
Couture 59.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Arnott
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Arnott
Couture
Last 7: Arnott 3-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
2
Arnott
Couture
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Arnott
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
48.8% (8,919)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
54.6% (624)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
39.8% (992)
+0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Arnott
Couture
Home
52.1% (891)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
48.2% (772)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Arnott
Couture
P1
46.1%
47.9%
P2
53.6%
47.9%
P3
50.1%
49.2%
OT
71.4%
48.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Logan Couture |