Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Ribeiro 46.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Ribeiro leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 70.5%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 63.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 67.6%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Arnott
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Arnott
Ribeiro
Last 10: Arnott 3-7 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Arnott
Ribeiro
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
2
Arnott
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
4
Arnott
Ribeiro
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
46.9% (823)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
49.0% (306)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
36.5% (74)
-6.5%
On power play, Arnott has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Arnott is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Arnott shoots right. Ribeiro is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Arnott
Ribeiro
Home
51.1% (460)
46.3% (620)
Away
49.3% (434)
46.9% (593)
By Period
Arnott
Ribeiro
P1
45.3%
48.5%
P2
54.2%
46.5%
P3
49.8%
43.6%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 8, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |