Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Ribeiro leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 68.8%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 59.1%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 78.3%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Arnott
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Arnott
Ribeiro
Last 10: Arnott 4-6 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Arnott
Ribeiro
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
3
Arnott
Ribeiro
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
4
Arnott
Ribeiro
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
42.9% (4,887)
+6.8%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
45.6% (930)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
33.3% (147)
+6.7%
On power play, Arnott has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Arnott
Ribeiro
Home
52.1% (891)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
48.2% (772)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Arnott
Ribeiro
P1
46.1%
42.6%
P2
53.6%
44.3%
P3
50.1%
41.8%
OT
71.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 8, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |