Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Koivu 54.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 62.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 56.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Arnott
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Arnott
Koivu
Last 8: Arnott 4-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
0
Arnott
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Arnott
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
54.0% (9,465)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
58.6% (2,100)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
48.9% (1,688)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Arnott
Koivu
Home
52.1% (891)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
48.2% (772)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Arnott
Koivu
P1
46.1%
53.5%
P2
53.6%
54.6%
P3
50.1%
54.0%
OT
71.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |