Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Johansen 46.7% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 72.0%
Defensive zone
Arnott 55.8%
Neutral zone
Arnott 55.0%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Arnott
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Arnott
Johansen
Last 7: Arnott 4-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
4
0
Arnott
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Arnott
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
45.7% (186)
+4.8%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
40.0% (25)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Arnott shoots right. Johansen is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Arnott
Johansen
Home
53.1% (431)
47.2% (108)
Away
46.7% (338)
43.0% (107)
By Period
Arnott
Johansen
P1
46.9%
50.0%
P2
52.9%
48.7%
P3
50.4%
37.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |