Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 52.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 66.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Arnott
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Arnott
Johansen
Last 7: Arnott 4-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
4
0
Arnott
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Arnott
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
53.1% (11,017)
-3.4%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
56.2% (2,163)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
50.5% (978)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Arnott shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Arnott
Johansen
Home
52.1% (891)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
48.2% (772)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Arnott
Johansen
P1
46.1%
53.2%
P2
53.6%
53.9%
P3
50.1%
52.8%
OT
71.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |