Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Koivu 52.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 76.7%
Defensive zone
Koivu 85.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 62.6%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Arnott
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Arnott
Koivu
Last 7: Arnott 5-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Arnott
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
0
Arnott
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
52.2% (805)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
59.9% (152)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
49.0% (239)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Arnott shoots right. Koivu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Arnott
Koivu
Home
53.1% (431)
54.0% (639)
Away
46.7% (338)
50.7% (594)
By Period
Arnott
Koivu
P1
46.9%
52.7%
P2
52.9%
50.4%
P3
50.4%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
47.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |