Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 74.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 80.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 58.2%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Arnott
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Arnott
Koivu
Last 9: Arnott 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Arnott
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
1
Arnott
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
51.9% (3,221)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
59.3% (437)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
48.0% (764)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Arnott
Koivu
Home
52.1% (891)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
48.2% (772)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Arnott
Koivu
P1
46.1%
51.1%
P2
53.6%
52.6%
P3
50.1%
51.8%
OT
71.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 16, 2011 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |