Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.2% vs Timmins 48.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 58.9%
Defensive zone
Timmins 69.0%
Neutral zone
Timmins 56.6%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Arnott
Timmins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Arnott
Timmins
Last 5: Arnott 2-3 Timmins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Timmins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Timmins
0
1
Arnott
Timmins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Timmins
0
1
Arnott
Timmins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Timmins
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (777)
48.2% (110)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.1% (93)
50.0% (2)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (10)
33.3% (15)
-3.3%
On power play, Arnott has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Timmins shoots left. Arnott is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Arnott shoots right. Timmins is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Arnott
Timmins
Home
51.1% (460)
46.2% (65)
Away
49.3% (434)
47.7% (65)
By Period
Arnott
Timmins
P1
45.3%
44.4%
P2
54.2%
40.6%
P3
49.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
48.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Timmins
50.0%▲
47.2%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Scott Timmins |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Scott Timmins |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Scott Timmins |