Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Timmins 48.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 63.0%
Defensive zone
Timmins 74.3%
Neutral zone
Timmins 56.4%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Arnott
Timmins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Arnott
Timmins
Last 5: Arnott 2-3 Timmins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
2
1
Arnott
Timmins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Timmins
0
1
Arnott
Timmins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Timmins
0
1
Arnott
Timmins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Timmins
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
48.6% (138)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
33.3% (3)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
35.3% (17)
+4.7%
On power play, Arnott has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Timmins shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Timmins is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Arnott
Timmins
Home
52.1% (891)
46.7% (92)
Away
48.2% (772)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Arnott
Timmins
P1
46.1%
41.1%
P2
53.6%
45.7%
P3
50.1%
54.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Timmins
50.0%▲
47.2%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Scott Timmins |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Scott Timmins |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:13 | Neutral | Scott Timmins |