Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Weiss 53.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weiss 53.7%
Defensive zone
Weiss 70.9%
Neutral zone
Weiss 64.0%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Arnott
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Arnott
Weiss
Last 7: Arnott 5-2 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Weiss
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
0
Arnott
Weiss
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
2
Arnott
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
53.0% (2,521)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
54.6% (560)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
49.4% (245)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Weiss is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Arnott
Weiss
Home
52.1% (891)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
48.2% (772)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Arnott
Weiss
P1
46.1%
53.5%
P2
53.6%
54.2%
P3
50.1%
52.2%
OT
71.4%
44.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |