Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Ott 55.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 62.8%
Defensive zone
Ott 90.2%
Neutral zone
Ott 76.9%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Arnott
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Arnott
Ott
Last 8: Arnott 5-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
0
Arnott
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Arnott
Ott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Arnott
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
56.9% (705)
-6.4%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
55.8% (154)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
48.3% (145)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Arnott shoots right. Ott is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Arnott
Ott
Home
53.1% (431)
54.9% (526)
Away
46.7% (338)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Arnott
Ott
P1
46.9%
55.4%
P2
52.9%
54.0%
P3
50.4%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
73.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |