Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Ott 55.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 60.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 88.8%
Neutral zone
Ott 71.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Arnott
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Arnott
Ott
Last 10: Arnott 6-4 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
5
0
Arnott
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
4
Arnott
Ott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Arnott
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
57.2% (2,802)
-7.5%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
55.4% (567)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
49.9% (853)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Arnott
Ott
Home
52.1% (891)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
48.2% (772)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Arnott
Ott
P1
46.1%
56.7%
P2
53.6%
53.9%
P3
50.1%
55.7%
OT
71.4%
60.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Steve Ott |