Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Chimera wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chimera 48.4% vs Larsson 49.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chimera 61.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 65.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.2%
Result
Jason Chimera favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Chimera
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Chimera
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Chimera
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chimera
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (244)
50.5% (4,382)
+1.1%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
47.7% (153)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (132)
43.8% (714)
-2.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Chimera is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Chimera shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Chimera
Larsson
Home
51.2% (207)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
44.3% (183)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Chimera
Larsson
P1
50.8%
51.6%
P2
47.2%
49.7%
P3
45.3%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chimera
46.0%▬
45.5%
47.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |