Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Dickinson 44.5% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 75.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 95.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 92.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Ryan
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Ryan
Dickinson
Last 5: Ryan 5-0 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Dickinson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
44.3% (255)
+15.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
33.3% (9)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
28.0% (25)
+15.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Dickinson is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Ryan
Dickinson
Home
56.7% (254)
38.8% (129)
Away
55.0% (258)
45.6% (160)
By Period
Ryan
Dickinson
P1
56.9%
49.4%
P2
51.7%
45.1%
P3
59.2%
34.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |