Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Dickinson 48.0% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 63.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 91.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 65.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Hughes
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Dickinson
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Dickinson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
2
Hughes
Dickinson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
48.6% (626)
-13.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
44.0% (25)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.2% (120)
-10.9%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Hughes shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Hughes
Dickinson
Home
37.4% (235)
45.4% (368)
Away
33.2% (229)
49.9% (403)
By Period
Hughes
Dickinson
P1
37.1%
49.2%
P2
33.7%
46.3%
P3
34.8%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
32.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |