Scouting Report
Jayson Megna holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Megna on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Megna shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Megna 49.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 70.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 60.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 63.3%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Dickinson
Megna
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dickinson
Megna
Last 5: Dickinson 1-4 Megna
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Megna
1
2
Dickinson
Megna
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
0
2
Dickinson
Megna
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Megna
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
46.5% (101)
-2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
57.1% (14)
-29.1%
On power play, Megna has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Megna shoots right. Dickinson is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Dickinson shoots left. Megna is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Megna
Home
38.8% (129)
55.9% (59)
Away
45.6% (160)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Dickinson
Megna
P1
49.4%
42.5%
P2
45.1%
48.5%
P3
34.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
40.3%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 17, 2021 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |