Jason Dickinson vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 82.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 77.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 56.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Dickinson
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dickinson
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Dickinson
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
52.8% (670)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
37.5% (32)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
14.3% (7)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Kotkaniemi
Home
53.6% (489)
52.5% (366)
Away
44.7% (427)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Dickinson
Kotkaniemi
P1
47.7%
53.8%
P2
52.1%
49.2%
P3
47.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |