Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Johnson 38.1% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 87.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 63.0%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Dickinson
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dickinson
Johnson
Last 5: Dickinson 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Dickinson
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
29.2% (130)
+19.4%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
33.3% (9)
+10.7%
On even strength, Dickinson has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. Johnson is 26.4% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Johnson
Home
45.4% (368)
27.3% (55)
Away
49.9% (403)
31.0% (84)
By Period
Dickinson
Johnson
P1
49.2%
22.2%
P2
46.3%
35.7%
P3
48.1%
31.4%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
31.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Johnson
36.0%▲
29.2%
29.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Kent Johnson |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Kent Johnson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |