Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Eller 51.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 57.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 75.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Dickinson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dickinson
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dickinson
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
52.8% (650)
-1.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
69.2% (13)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
45.5% (88)
-3.1%
On power play, Eller has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Eller
Home
53.6% (489)
52.6% (340)
Away
44.7% (427)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Dickinson
Eller
P1
47.7%
52.4%
P2
52.1%
54.1%
P3
47.8%
50.0%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |