Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 83.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 64.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Dickinson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dickinson
Carlsson
Last 8: Dickinson 3-5 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
4
Dickinson
Carlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
0
Dickinson
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Dickinson
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
45.5% (661)
+6.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
46.3% (82)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
33.3% (84)
+5.4%
On power play, Dickinson has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Carlsson
Home
48.7% (419)
42.5% (428)
Away
50.4% (383)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Dickinson
Carlsson
P1
42.6%
45.4%
P2
55.0%
39.7%
P3
50.0%
48.5%
OT
60.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |