Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 85.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 53.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 65.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Dickinson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dickinson
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Dickinson
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Dickinson
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
41.8% (648)
+9.7%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
37.3% (51)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
38.7% (31)
+3.7%
On power play, Dickinson has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Carlsson
Home
53.6% (489)
44.5% (362)
Away
44.7% (427)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Dickinson
Carlsson
P1
47.7%
46.3%
P2
52.1%
35.1%
P3
47.8%
43.9%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |