Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Geekie 44.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 84.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 53.8%
Neutral zone
Geekie 65.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Dickinson
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dickinson
Geekie
Last 9: Dickinson 3-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
4
Dickinson
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dickinson
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
43.7% (584)
+7.5%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
47.1% (68)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
50.0% (8)
-7.1%
On power play, Dickinson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Dickinson is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Dickinson shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Geekie
Home
52.9% (664)
45.3% (329)
Away
46.7% (572)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Dickinson
Geekie
P1
49.0%
41.2%
P2
48.3%
45.0%
P3
52.5%
46.2%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |