Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.8%). Dickinson wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Dickinson
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Dickinson
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
48.9% (280)
+2.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
50.0% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
47.2% (36)
-8.5%
On power play, Dickinson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Dickinson shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Bjugstad
Home
48.7% (419)
48.4% (190)
Away
50.4% (383)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Dickinson
Bjugstad
P1
42.6%
41.7%
P2
55.0%
56.6%
P3
50.0%
48.7%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |